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  • NDA emerges as the biggest seat gainer with 44.8% vote share
  • UPA expected to win 64-84 seats, with 33.4% vote-share

With an aim to determine the mood of voters ahead of the upcoming Bihar Assembly Elections, ABP News,along with research partner CVOTER, announced its findings of the first opinion poll today. The poll indicates that the NDA governmentwill be a force to be reckoned with, in the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, which are slated to be heldin three phases.

The CVOTER survey revealed that as per public opinion, NDA is leading with 44.8% vote share (141 to 161 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 33.4% vote share (64 to 84 Seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 21.8% vote share (13 to 23 seats).

The survey conducted with Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research (CVOTER) keeps the viewers apprised of the various developing political opinions, while also understanding the voters’ frame of mind. 

Current projections are based on CVOTER daily tracking poll conducted from 01st September 2020 to September 25th 2020, among 18+ adults, including likely voters.

As for the methodology and survey details, the survey reached out to a total of approximately25,789 people in Bihar and was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey). The sample spread of the surveycovers all 243 assembly segments. The margin of error is +/- 3% at State level and +/-5% at regional level.

The polls will be held in three phases this year to minimize the movement of security personnel, with respect to their wellbeing amidst the pervasiveness of Covid-19.The 1st phase of the elections will be held on October 28th, 2020 wherein 71 constituencies and 16 Districts will go for polls in 31,000 polling stations. This will be followed by the 2nd phase on 3rd November, 2020 wherein 94 constituencies, and 17 Districts will go for polls in 42,000 Polling Stations. Lastly, the 3rd phase will be held on 7th November, 2020 wherein 78 constituencies and 15 Districts will go for polls in 33000 polling stations. The counting will take place on 10th November, 2020.

On the opinion poll, Mr. YashwantDeshmukh, CVoter said, “CVoter is pleased to be ABP News’ research partner for Bihar Assembly Election 2020 Polls. In the light of this year’s political battle, voters appear to be making up their minds. Their decision-making is crucial as the reverberationsof this year’s election verdict will be felt in national politics, giving great ammunition to the winning party. Our opinion poll, on the other hand, will help gain a deeper understanding of the unique political dynamics at work in the state of Bihar.”

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