Update
ABP Network
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  • TMC leads in West Bengal with 41.53% vote share followed by BJP with 34.22% vote share

ABP Network revealed the findings of its Opinion Poll for West Bengal Assembly Elections 2021, conducted alongside research partner, CNX. The opinion poll survey aims to provide a clearer picture of the high octane political season in poll-bound West Bengal.

The ABP Network-CNX survey has revealed that as per public opinion, TMC is leading in West Bengal with 41.53% vote share (154-164 seats), whereas BJP stands second with 34.22% vote share (102-112 seats), followed by Left-INC Alliance with 19.66% vote share (22-30 seats).

Vote Share

OptionsCNX
survey results
2016
results
Swing   of   votes since 20162019 resultsSwing          of
votes       since 2019
 
TMC41.5344.91-03.3843.28-01.75 
BJP34.2210.16+24.0640.25-06.03 
Left-INC Alliance19.6637.94-18.2813.11+06.55 
Others04.5906.99-02.4003.36+01.23 
Total100%100%100% 
(Others include GJM, which is likely to contest election with TMC alliance)                                                           


  Seat Projection
 
OptionsCNX         survey prediction2016 resultsChange               in
Position         since 2016
2019 resultsChange         in
Position   since 2019
TMC154-164211-47-57164-00-10
BJP102-11203+99-109121-09-19
Left-INC22-3076-46-5409+13-21
Others01-0304-01-0300+01-03
Total294294294
(Others include GJM, which is likely to contest election with TMC alliance)

As for the methodology and survey details, a Face-to-Face survey was conducted using a structured questionnaire which was administered randomly to 9360 men and women from section A and section B households, in the age group of 18 to 60. The survey team visited 117 out of the 294 Assembly seats in the states going deep into by-lanes and meeting people from all walks of life. The respondents were selected randomly keeping in view the demographic, professional and migration dimensions. The results are subject to a margin of error: 2.5 percent.

The survey was conducted from 15th February to 23rd February 2021.

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